Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1257.412356 1421.135245 1600.589649 1812.287644 2055.707939 2327.434175 2654.561038
2025-12-21 964.975981 1175.741071 1426.891386 1749.877665 2156.595253 2654.846548 3316.179867
2025-12-28 849.553671 1090.488455 1394.853311 1811.017134 2370.562687 3104.370540 4151.961945
2026-01-04 756.966458 1012.623547 1350.976667 1837.066282 2526.544771 3483.127444 4934.756161
2026-01-11 681.523494 944.056387 1305.504633 1847.244467 2652.056223 3824.990715 5703.783851
2026-01-18 620.227144 885.828143 1264.441066 1853.667365 2766.081704 4156.357411 6496.076818
2026-01-25 580.470227 852.861878 1253.914489 1900.461508 2941.615430 4596.754332 7517.850576
2026-02-01 543.733389 819.698901 1238.164919 1934.976403 3098.447207 5022.591530 8573.883324
2026-02-08 508.706728 785.120981 1215.739816 1954.517784 3230.246751 5419.517195 9634.567123
2026-02-15 478.542800 754.956825 1196.614669 1975.971234 3365.423104 5835.645806 10789.455946
2026-02-22 455.303271 733.566806 1189.133800 2015.229110 3534.472119 6330.623408 12168.480432
2026-03-01 418.726449 686.700619 1134.536116 1965.614036 3535.109440 6511.022467 12944.755186
2026-03-08 384.208974 641.101933 1079.154035 1910.798589 3523.135902 6672.195179 13722.555892
2026-03-15 351.356349 595.839061 1020.661141 1844.637895 3482.218548 6771.867657 14387.610763
2026-03-22 341.279024 589.801260 1031.295874 1909.490519 3706.870645 7440.715443 16439.332965
2026-03-29 326.749528 574.438298 1023.365890 1937.126319 3858.361667 7974.949523 18273.864658
2026-04-05 311.244681 555.975361 1007.929202 1947.925189 3975.183737 8448.378777 20046.618616
2026-04-12 296.548283 537.836131 991.479111 1954.739979 4083.703846 8916.996173 21894.123488
2026-04-19 287.967255 530.637191 995.515511 2004.394128 4292.718560 9647.547107 24573.035826
2026-04-26 278.480340 520.907944 993.634621 2041.023952 4476.216589 10342.910441 27297.976196
2026-05-03 267.971356 508.345565 984.946235 2061.764754 4624.797582 10973.049394 29968.793220
2026-05-10 258.374234 496.889116 977.552594 2084.536639 4780.857135 11644.839444 32907.229318
2026-05-17 251.143542 489.709836 978.461932 2126.211557 4988.528599 12483.264588 36546.520777